Houston’s decision to decline the option on Hector Herrera raises questions about the team’s future strategies. Despite having played only 1616 minutes during the regular season, he managed to lead the team in progressive passes per 96 minutes among players with significant playing time. His contributions on the defensive end were notable as well, although they clearly represented a decline compared to his earlier seasons. This decision signifies a shift in Houston’s approach as they look to rebuild and enhance their roster.

One of the most significant acquisitions this offseason is Jack McGlynn, who joins the team from Philadelphia. McGlynn is recognized as a superior offensive midfielder compared to Herrera, though his defensive capabilities are not on par. A crucial advantage of McGlynn is his youth and proven ability to log substantial minutes on the field. While Herrera may have been the stronger player in the long term, approaching 35 raises concerns about his durability and minutes played. Additionally, Houston has also welcomed Junior Urso, who is nearing 36, and Erik Duenas, who is significantly younger at just 19, signaling a strategy that balances experience with youthful potential. Urso’s effectiveness may be in question, but Duenas offers intriguing possibilities as he seeks more playing time in a competitive atmosphere.

In the 2024 season, Houston displayed a dynamic approach to player positioning, frequently adjusting their formations. They primarily employed a 4-2-3-1 setup similar to the previous year but explored numerous variations throughout the season. This flexibility hints at their potential adaptability in the upcoming year. Such variability could facilitate a smoother integration of new signings, especially since the team’s playstyle evolved dramatically from game to game based on personnel. However, it raises concerns that this approach may not yield a standout player, as history suggests that not every team can produce a breakout star from a group of rotating players. The balance between team chemistry and individual talent will be crucial for Houston’s success moving forward.

As of February 17, 2025, significant rumors are circulating regarding Micael potentially transferring to Palmeiras for what could be a record-setting fee for the club. This development leaves Erik Sviatchenko as the only returning regular at center-back. In contrast, Ethan Bartlow and Daniel Steres combined have significantly less experience on the field, having played over 750 minutes fewer than Micael. Coupled with the absence of apparent defensive signings and a lack of a clear defensive midfielder, Houston’s backline could face substantial challenges, reminiscent of facing an overwhelming opponent. While the acquisition of Michael Halliday, a fullback from Orlando, and the promotion of Femi Awodesu from Dynamo2, who has shown promising statistics in Next Pro, offer some hope, the uncertainty around the defense remains a critical concern. Furthermore, the question of who will take the goalkeeping role adds an additional layer of complexity to their defensive strategy.

In a significant roster move, Houston has parted ways with Steve Clark and signed Jimmy Maurer as their new goalkeeper. Andrew Tarbell, who served as Clark’s backup, may also see increased responsibility moving forward. Maurer has accumulated only 975 minutes over the past three seasons, while Tarbell has played 730 minutes, both primarily as substitutes. Although a career backup can occasionally have a breakout season, as seen with Brad Stuver, the lack of experience and proven performance from this duo raises doubts about their ability to deliver consistent results for Houston.

Projected Starting Lineup for Houston Dynamo

Head coach Ben Olsen is likely to deploy a front three consisting of Kowalczyk, Ponce, and Ibrahim, supported by Bassi behind them. The midfield will likely feature McGlynn and Artur, while Sviatchenko and Bartlow are expected to solidify the center-back positions. Griffin Dorsey is anticipated to anchor the right side, with Franco Escobar positioned on the left. In a rotational capacity, Steres may step in, channeling the spirit of Ricky Morton as needed in various match scenarios.

Drawing inspiration from the brilliant mind of Scott Steiner, who provided predictions for his chances during a key event, I offer my own forecast for Houston’s upcoming season. In the context of American Soccer Analysis, where statistics reign supreme, Steiner’s insights resonate strongly with our approach:

“They say all teams are created equal, but when you examine our squad and the competitive landscape of the Western Conference, it becomes evident that this statement does not hold true. Typically, teams in the West have a 50% chance of winning against each other, but we are not your typical team! Our odds drop to just 25% for opponents facing us. When we throw Austin into the mix, it further diminishes their winning chances. The race for playoff spots in a 15-team conference shows that while others may have a 57% chance, we command a dominant 66 and ⅔% chance. This is because teams like Dallas and San Jose understand they cannot compete with us and will not even attempt to do so! Therefore, when you consider a 33 and 1/3% chance of making the playoffs, subtracted by our 25% chance, the probability drops to just 8 and 2/3%. However, if you factor in our 75% chance to win one-on-one and combine that with 66 and ⅔%, we possess an astounding 141 and ⅔% chance of making the playoffs. The numbers don’t lie, and they spell out disaster for our competition in 2025.” 

(In all honesty, I predict a finish somewhere between 6th and 8th place, as I have doubts about the defense’s ability to support an offense that struggled last year.)

By Harrison Crow

Reflecting on the 2024 Season Performance

The Sounders experienced an unusual start to the 2024 season, characterized by a lack of wins despite not necessarily performing poorly on the field. It took the team six games to secure their first victory, and an additional four weeks passed before they could notch their second win. Overall, the team accumulated a mere 17 points over their first 17 games, which resulted in a dismal first half of the season and raised concerns about their overall trajectory.