As we excitedly expect Tuesday’s UEFA Champions League quarter-final 2nd leg, let’s look into our comprehensive forecast and sneak peek for the exhilarating match in between Borussia Dortmund and Barcelona. Hansi Flick’s group holds a considerable benefit after a commanding 4-0 triumph in the very first leg, however can BVB install an impressive return to turn the tide in their favor?

Essential Statistics for Borussia Dortmund vs Barcelona: Key Insights and Trends

• The Opta supercomputer projections that Barcelona will continue their winning streak with a strong efficiency in Dortmund on Tuesday night.
• Barcelona includes the leading 2 objective scorers in this season’s UEFA Champions League, with Raphinha netting 12 objectives and Robert Lewandowski contributing 11 to the group’s success.
• Historically, Borussia Dortmund has yet to protect a success versus Barcelona in any competitive match, suffering 4 beats and taping 2 attracts 6 previous encounters.

Heading into the 2nd leg of their UEFA Champions League quarter-final versus Barcelona, Borussia Dortmund deals with a complicated obstacle, routing by 4 objectives following a heavy defeat in the very first leg. While the possibility of a return appears slim, history has actually revealed that incredible turn-arounds are possible in the Champions League, especially in matches including Barcelona.

The 4-0 loss in the very first leg marked the 160th time a group has actually yielded a deficit of 4 or more objectives in the very first leg of a knockout round incorporate the European Cup/Champions League. Out of the previous 159 celebrations, just one group has actually handled to reverse such a deficit in the 2nd leg: Barcelona versus Paris Saint-Germain in the round of 16 throughout the 2016-17 season, where they lost 4-0 in the very first leg however won 6-1 in the return component.

Not just does Dortmund require to conquer a four-goal deficit, however they need to likewise do so versus a group they have actually never ever beaten. Their 6 previous competitive encounters with Barcelona have actually led to no triumphes, and stopping working to win this match would extend their winless streak versus this challenger, connecting their longest such run in European competitors, which likewise consists of a seven-match winless streak versus Scottish side Rangers from 1966 to 1999.

Barcelona’s assaulting expertise has actually appeared this season, with the Opta supercomputer now ranking them as favorites to raise the Champions League prize. The group averages a remarkable 3.3 objectives per video game in the 2024-25 competitors, a record that goes beyond all however one group in UCL history with a minimum of 10 video games played in a season: Bayern Munich, who balanced 3.9 objectives per video game in 2019-20. Notably, that Bayern group was likewise under the assistance of present Barcelona coach Hansi Flick.

In regards to specific efficiencies, Raphinha (12 objectives) and Robert Lewandowski (11 objectives) are leading the charge for Barcelona this UEFA Champions League season. Raphinha has actually been straight associated with 19 objectives throughout his 11 looks in the competition this season, consisting of 12 objectives and 7 helps. Should he accomplish over 20 objective participations, he would sign up with an elite group of gamers who have actually achieved this in a single Champions League season, along with Cristiano Ronaldo and Lewandowski.

Lewandowski has actually just recently signed up with the elite club of gamers scoring over 100 objectives in the Champions League, reaching 105 objectives in overall as he intends to surround Lionel Messi’s 129 and Cristiano Ronaldo’s record of 140 objectives. As he approaches his 37th birthday before the next Champions League season, matching the tallies of Messi and Ronaldo might be a high order. However, considering that turning 30, Lewandowski’s efficiency has actually been exceptional, with 60 objectives in simply 59 UCL matches, just behind Ronaldo’s tally throughout his 30s.

On the other hand, Borussia Dortmund’s Serhou Guirassy is likewise a competitor in this season’s objective rankings, having actually netted 10 objectives in 13 looks in the Champions League. However, his current kind has actually been frustrating, as he has actually stopped working to score in his last 4 matches, with a drought of 10 shots without an objective after formerly transforming 40% of his efforts in the competitors.

Barcelona comes to this match in excellent kind, having not skilled defeat considering that a 2-1 loss versus Atlético Madrid on December 21st of the previous year. Their present kind boasts a remarkable 24-match unbeaten streak in competitive components (20 wins, 4 draws), with their most current triumph originating from a La Liga match versus Leganes, protected by an own objective from Jorge Sáenz. This efficiency positions them 4 points ahead of competitors Real Madrid in the La Liga standings with just 7 video games delegated play.

Conversely, Borussia Dortmund’s domestic season has actually not unfolded as positively. They just recently drew 2-2 with Bayern Munich in the high-stakes Der Klassiker, leaving Niko Kovač’s team in 8th location in the Bundesliga, an incredible 27 points behind league leaders Bayern, and dealing with considerable obstacles in their pursuit of Champions League credentials for the next season.

Maximilian Beier made a favorable contribution by scoring the opening objective at the Allianz Arena over the weekend, continuing his excellent kind with 4 objectives and 2 helps in his last 6 competitive looks. However, he stays simply one objective far from reaching double digits for Dortmund this season throughout all competitors, with just Guirassy (25 objectives) and Jamie Gittens (12 objectives) having actually accomplished that turning point for the club throughout the 2024-25 season so far.

In-depth Analysis of Borussia Dortmund vs Barcelona Head-to-Head Record

The very first leg of this tie led to Borussia Dortmund experiencing among their most considerable beats in European Cup/UEFA Champions League history, matching a 4-0 loss to Ajax throughout the 2021-22 group phase.

This triumph suggests that Barcelona has actually thrived in all 3 of their encounters versus German groups in the Champions League this season, having actually formerly beat Bayern Munich (4-1) and Borussia Dortmund two times (3-2 and 4-0). Should Barça secure a win in this match, they would end up being the first string to accomplish 2 away triumphes at Dortmund in a single European project.

Expert Prediction for Borussia Dortmund vs Barcelona Match Outcome

The Opta supercomputer recommends that Barcelona is the most likely winner of this approaching match, with a 49.7% opportunity of triumph in the simulations carried out for the Dortmund component.

Following their excellent first-leg efficiency, Barcelona is deemed the prominent prospect for a semi-final berth in the Champions League, boasting a 99.4% likelihood of reaching the last 4 in present simulations and a 54.7% possibility of advancing to the last itself.

This information undoubtedly positions Barcelona as the frontrunner to clinch the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League title, with a 28.2% opportunity of winning the competitors ahead of Arsenal. If they effectively browse this tie, they are expected to deal with the winner of the Bayern Munich versus Inter clash.

Predicted Lineups for Borussia Dortmund vs Barcelona Clash

Understanding the Opta Power Rankings: Insights and Current Rankings

The Opta Power Rankings work as a detailed worldwide group ranking system, examining and designating a capability rating to over 13,000 domestic football groups. This rating is determined on a absolutely no-to-100 scale, where zero represents the lowest-ranked group internationally and 100 symbolizes the highest-ranked group.

As we approach kick-off on Tuesday, here are the current Opta Power Rankings for both Borussia Dortmund and Barcelona, showing their current efficiencies and general capabilities in worldwide football.

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