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Man Utd vs Newcastle Prediction and Preview

Erik 10 Hag’s guys leave at Old Trafford for the last time this season. Look ahead to the video game with our Man Utd vs Newcastle forecast and sneak peek.


Man Utd vs Newcastle Stats: The Quick Hits

  • The Opta supercomputer makes Man Utd favourites, in spite of their bad type, winning 42.9% of the pre-match simulations.
  • Man Utd will tape their poorest-ever Premier League points total this season if they lose either of their 2 last video games.
  • Newcastle might end up being the very first English group considering that Manchester City in between 2013 and 2014 to beat Man Utd 4 times in a row (all competitors).

Match Preview

Manchester United have 2 matches to avoid 2023-24 from being their worst Premier League season ever, beginning with Wednesday’s see of Newcastle to Old Trafford.

United head into their penultimate video game of the project sitting 8th in the table with simply 54 points and an objective distinction of -4. The least expensive they’ve ended up in the Premier League period is seventh in 2013-14, their poorest points amount to was 58 in 2021-22, and not considering that 1989-90 in the old Division One have they ended up with an unfavorable objective distinction.

It’s completely possible they might set brand-new Premier League lows in all 3 locations, and if they lose their last 2 matches, United may even end up as low as 10th.

Make no error, this has actually been a hard season for United and their under-pressure supervisor Erik 10 Hag, who appears progressively not likely to still supervise next term.

If he does wind up being changed, Wednesday’s video game will be his last at Old Trafford as United manager. It’s barely been a case of home, sweet home in 2023-24, however, as their 9 home beats in all competitors this term is the joint the majority of they’ve ever suffered in a single season. Lose on Wednesday and Ten Hag will have himself an undesirable record.

Newcastle supervisor Eddie Howe doesn’t have an excellent record on away days in Manchester, however. In 14 journeys to United and Manchester City, he’s not won a single match; just Steve Bruce (26) has actually handled more away video games versus the 2 Manchester clubs without ever winning.

Nevertheless, there’s little doubt which of the 2 groups remains in much better shape at the minute. United have actually won simply among their last 10 matches throughout all competitors inside the guideline 90 minutes, which protested relegated Sheffield United on 24 April. Even then they required 2 objectives in the last 9 minutes to see the Blades off.

Newcastle, on the other hand, have actually won 5 and lost simply among their previous 8 Premier League components, type that has actually seen them surpass United. They might yet take over Tottenham and surface 5th if Spurs lose their last 2 video games.

Throughout the season, Ten Hag has actually reviled United’s injury issues, and it is a genuine disappointment, specifically with concerns to how they’ve affected their defence. More just recently, however, the crisis has actually even infected the normally reputable Bruno Fernandes.

He has actually missed their last 2 matches, beats to Crystal Palace and Arsenal, significance United have actually won 40% of their league video games and balanced 1.3 points per video game when he hasn’t begun compared to a 53% win rate and 1.8 points per video game when he has actually remained in their beginning XI considering that his launching for the club.

Fernandes and Marcus Rashford are anticipated to deal with late physical fitness tests to figure out whether they can include versus Newcastle, while Amad Diallo is a doubt after bruising his knee versus Arsenal. Mason Mount missed out on that video game and appears not likely to be in contention for Wednesday, however Lisandro Martínez might include if Ten Hag chooses to risk him.

Victor Lindelof, Anthony Martial, Harry Maguire, Luke Shaw, Tyrell Malacia and Raphaël Varane, who verified on Tuesday that he’s leaving at the end of the season, will all be missing.

As for Newcastle’s group news, Howe will lack long-lasting absentees Sandro Tonali, Sven Botman, Jamaal Lascelles, Joe Willock, Lewis Miley and Matt Targett. Callum Wilson and Alexander Isak deal with physical fitness tests, while this video game is most likely to come simply prematurely for Fabian Schär.

Man Utd vs Newcastle Head-to-Head

Man Utd have actually lost simply among their 28 Premier League home video games versus Newcastle (W18 D9), decreasing 1-0 in December 2013 under David Moyes.

Nevertheless, it’s been a various story more just recently when looking beyond simply the Premier League. Newcastle have actually won each of their last 3 conferences with United in all competitors, as lots of as in their previous 21 ahead of time (D4 L14). The last English group to win 4 in a row versus the Red Devils were Manchester City in between 2013 and 2014.

Furthermore, Newcastle won those 3 video games without yielding a single objective; they last won 4 on the bounce versus the Red Devils in 1907 (a run of 5).

Two of the Newcastle triumphes in concern took place previously this season, consisting of a 3-0 win at Old Trafford in the EFL Cup. United haven’t lost 3 times to the very same group in a single project considering that doing so to Chelsea in 2012-13, while the Blues were likewise the last group to beat them two times far from home in a season (2004-05).

However, Howe hasn’t won at Old Trafford in the Premier League in 6 efforts, just handling more video games at Anfield, the Etihad Stadium and the Emirates Stadium without ever winning in the leading flight (8 each).

Recent Form

As currently highlighted, United are on a sorrowful run that’s seen them just beat Sheffield United inside 90 minutes considering that mid-March, whereas Newcastle’s type has actually gotten and got them back in contention for Europe.

Newcastle’s type has actually especially enhanced far from St James’ Park; having just won among their very first 10 away league video games this season (D2 L7), Howe’s guys have actually considering that won 4 of their last 7 on the roadway (L3). They are wanting to win back-to-back away league video games for simply a 2nd time in 2023-24 (likewise in January/February).

United fans will be searching for prophecies anywhere they can get them at the minute, such has actually been the group’s woeful run. With that in mind, they’re unbeaten in their last 14 midweek (Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday) home video games in the Premier League (W11 D3), with the last checking out side to win at Old Trafford in midweek in the competitors being Liverpool in May 2021 (4-2).

That’s about as great as it gets when it concerns United’s current type.

Opta Power Rankings

The Opta Power Rankings are an international group ranking system that designates a capability rating to over 13,000 domestic football groups on a scale in between no and 100, where no is the worst-ranked group on the planet and 100 is the very best group on the planet.

Ahead of kick-off on Wednesday, here is the Opta Power Ranking for both sides.

Man Utd vs Newcastle Prediction

Man Utd vs Newcastle prediction

Despite the 2 groups remaining in such contrasting type, the Opta supercomputer does think about Manchester United the favourites, winning this video game in 42.9% of the 10,000 pre-match simulations.

Still, that likewise implies the forecast design thinks about there to be a 57.1% possibility of Newcastle a minimum of getting an outcome. They came away with the 3 points in 29.3% of the sims, with the draw happening in 27.8%.

As for their last positions, United surface eighth in 81.4% of the season simulations, while Newcastle come 6th in 47.2%, which would imply Europa League certification for the Magpies if City beat United in the FA Cup last. Otherwise, it would imply the Europa Conference League.


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