
Rangers fans are certainly commemorating the impactful finalizing of Marcus Semien before the beginning of the 2022 MLB season. His 2nd year with the group was absolutely nothing except amazing, as he not just made a desired area on the AL All-Star group however likewise ended up being a finalist for the AL MVP award for the 3rd time in his renowned profession. Semien’s contributions culminated in the Rangers clinching the Commissioner’s Trophy, marking their first-ever World Series champion. The seven-year, $175 million agreement that Texas management invested to protect Semien’s skills has actually currently shown to be a substantial success, particularly thinking about the franchise’s previous tough season with 102 losses.
However, the most recent efficiency stats suggest that Semien is experiencing some worrying patterns as he approaches his mid-thirties. His last season showed an obvious decrease from his formerly outstanding production, mainly credited to a below average offending efficiency at the plate. In 159 video games bet the Rangers in 2015, the skilled gamer published a batting line of .237/.308/.391, leading to a 99 wRC+. While this represented a regression from the excellent 126 wRC+ accomplished in the previous season, it is not completely out of character for Semien, who has actually shown a pattern of rotating in between typical and standout offending seasons for many years. Since 2018, this pattern has actually continued throughout 3 groups, especially starting with an average efficiency throughout his time in Oakland, followed by a career-high 33 crowning achievement in 2019.
The variation continued with a frustrating revealing throughout the condensed 60-game 2020 season, however Semien rebounded amazingly in 2021, striking 45 crowning achievement and building up an amazing 6.0 fWAR while betting the Blue Jays. This outstanding efficiency prepared for his choice to sign up with the Rangers, and so far, the preliminary 3 years of his agreement have actually been fairly effective, showcasing a .254/.320/.433 batting line (111 wRC+) and an impressive 14.8 fWAR. Despite the offending battles in 2015, Semien still accomplished a four-win season, substantially boosted by his remarkable protective abilities at 2nd base. Among all certified gamers, his excellent +19 Outs Above Average was gone beyond just by fellow 2nd baseman Andres Gimenez. Additionally, his Fielding Run Value of +14 was connected with Gimenez for the greatest amongst all infielders in the league.
Such amazing protective expertise can make up for an uninspired bat; nevertheless, this season’s numbers have actually raised major issues about Semien’s efficiency. In his very first 115 plate looks of 2025, Semien has actually had a hard time substantially, striking a simple .155/.226/.223, equating to a disappointing 30 wRC+. This level of offending output is an impressive 70% listed below the league average and ranks as one of the weakest efficiencies amongst certified players in the big leagues so far. Such has a hard time at the plate are exceptionally challenging to balance out with protective quality, especially as Semien approaches his 35th birthday. With 3 years and $72 million staying on his agreement after this season, his age and rough start to 2025 are considerable warnings for the Rangers’ future.
On a more favorable note, there are components of Semien’s underlying offending metrics that supply a twinkle of expect enhancement. His existing .175 BABIP is not likely to stay over 100 points lower than his profession average (.281) for the totality of the season. In regards to power, his barrel rate of 8.1% is the greatest he has actually taped considering that his excellent 2021 project with the Blue Jays, although his hard-hit rate of 31.7% marks the most affordable it has actually remained in a complete 162-game season considering that 2017. The more unpleasant elements of his efficiency originate from his plate discipline. Although his walk rate stays steady at 8.7%, somewhat below in 2015’s 8.9%, his strikeout rate has actually risen from 14.6% over the previous 2 seasons to a disconcerting 20.0% in 2025.
This uptick in strikeouts can be credited to a boost in swings and misses out on, especially on pitches outside the strike zone. Semien’s swinging strike rate has actually reached 10.9%, a complete 2 portion points greater than his profession average of 8.9% and the greatest it has actually been considering that his 21-game stint with the White Sox in 2013. When examining pitches outside the strike zone, he is making contact just 45.5% of the time, a drop of more than ten points compared to in 2015. While Semien can expect some favorable regression in regards to power and BABIP, his current battles with swinging at pitches outside the strike zone might seriously restrict his capability to carry out as an above-average player in the majors unless these problems are resolved.
What are the ideas of MLBTR readers concerning Semien’s trajectory for the 2025 season? A rebound of some nature appears extremely possible, particularly thinking about that Billy Hunter of the 1953 St. Louis Browns is the last gamer to tape-record a 30 wRC+ or lower while getting approved for the batting title. The pushing concern stays whether Semien can raise his offending efficiency to a level where his defensive abilities can as soon as again place him as an important possession in the league. We welcome you to share your insights in the survey listed below:
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