The having a hard time Atlanta Braves made a due date carry on Monday, obtaining DH/OF Jorge Soler and right-handed reducer Luke Jackson from the San Francisco Giants in exchange for left-handed reducer Tyler Matzek and minors infielder Sabin Ceballos.
Theodor Reik, an Austrian psychoanalyst, is thought to be the initial source of what (with small adjustment) has actually ended up being the stating “history doesn’t repeat itself, but it does rhyme.” That’s the case here, as both Soler and Jackson were essential factors on the Braves group that won the World Series in 2021. If we were to set our time maker to take a trip back a rather unambitious 3 years in the past, we would see a comparable due date tale. When Soler was gotten by Atlanta at that time (from the Royals for minors reducer Kasey Kalich), the Braves were a having a hard time group (51-54) that was facing the season-ending loss of Ronald Acuña Jr. to a torn ACL. Today, the Braves are a having a hard time group (56-49, however 37-40 because completion of April) that is facing the season-ending loss of Ronald Acuña Jr. to a torn ACL. It would be incorrect to state that Soler was the factor the Braves turned their season around in 2021, however his efforts (a .269/.358/.524 line and 14 homers in 2 months) showed to be an essential part of that group push. Jackson has actually had an up-and-down profession, however 2021 was his apogee, with a 1.98 period and 3.66 FIP for those Braves.
Naturally, Atlanta’s wishing to have a little rhyming history here, however it would be an error to call this trade ill-conceived fond memories. Soler’s seasonal line (.240/.330/.419 with 12 crowning achievement, helpful for 0.8 WAR) doesn’t precisely pop off the page, however you need to bear in mind that the big league offending environment is really pitcher-friendly nowadays and Oracle Park isn’t precisely a fantastic location for a slugger to strike unless you’re Barry Bonds. Soler’s 115 wRC+ is in fact best in line with both his profession numbers and the forecasts getting in the season. And a lot more significantly, with Isaac Paredes currently off the marketplace, he has a case for being the very best bat reasonably offered without trading half the farm system.
That bat is simply what Atlanta requires provided the group’s offending issues, even if it won’t repair the lineup by itself. Despite their pitching injuries, the Braves have actually had the ability to patch together a quite satisfactory personnel, with a 3.48 period because April, though that’s gotten a bit harder because Max Fried decreased. They haven’t had the exact same luck offensively, as they rank 27th in runs scored over that timeframe, while their 89 group wRC+ ranks 26th. Atlanta’s outfielders have actually integrated to strike an abysmal .225/.281/.362 this season. Soler will take playing time far from some mix of Eddie Rosario (.548 OPS in Atlanta because being signed previously this month) and Adam Duvall (.587 OPS). Even taking Soler’s weak defense into account — Marcell Ozuna has an iron grip on the DH area — he represents a substantial enhancement over what the Braves have actually obtained from the corners this year. He’s likewise signed for another 2 seasons, having actually tattooed a three-year, $42 million offer this previous winter season.
After publishing a 5.40 period and 4.50 FIP in 36 relief looks for San Francisco, Jackson is plainly the lower acquisition here, most likely planned to be depth at the back of the bullpen. Unless Atlanta likes him a lot more than the forecasts (which see him as essentially the last arm out of the ‘pen), he’s most likely to be utilized in lower-leverage circumstances, comparable to how the Giants released him in 2023 and 2024. Still, he’s most likely more trustworthy than Matzek in the short-term, and it’s at least worth keeping in mind that Jackson is still much better than average at missing out on bats and still prosper in the different public pitch designs. If he pitches well, he might discover himself in higher-leverage innings, though he’d most likely need to pitch rather well for Atlanta to get his $7 million 2025 alternative ($2 million buyout).
Matzek, who has actually had a hard time to come back from Tommy John surgical treatment, is not likely to play a crucial function for the Giants — or perhaps any function at all for that matter. His addition is probably for tax functions, as Atlanta has actually been hovering simply under the 2nd high-end tax limit. Even if Matzek does enter into video games before completion of the season, it won’t truly modify San Francisco’s fate, and he most likely won’t toss enough innings, even in the best-case circumstance, for the Giants to get his $5.5 million alternative.
It’s Ceballos who makes the trade intriguing for the Giants; he slots in at no. 17 in their system as a 40 FV possibility. The Giants’ finest potential customers today primarily include pitchers and outfielders, and they’re short of infielders. Ceballos doesn’t pinched hit the power one may anticipate provided his strong develop and he’s had actually blended outcomes at High-A Rome this year, however he’s a great contact player who gets on base, and ZiPS is positive about his defense. Eric Longenhagen concurs, stating in Atlanta’s possibility rundown in June, “Ceballos’ skill set is headlined by his plus defensive actions and his huge arm. A balanced, low-to-the-ground athlete with great footwork, he has a strong, accurate arm from all kinds of odd platforms. His athletic style is more about body control than explosion, and this also applies to Ceballos’ offense, which is driven by plate discipline and a compact swing.”
In his writeup, Eric compared Ceballos to previous Giant Matt Duffy. Unbeknownst to Eric, Duffy is in fact in the leading 20 in Ceballos’ ZiPS compensations, with other noteworthy current gamers being Cory Spangenberg, Nick Sogard, and Anderson Feliz (Ceballos’ leading compensation is Kevin Seitzer). He’s barely a lock to play in the majors beyond a cup of coffee, however the Giants were never ever going to get a Coby Mayo or Matt Shaw for the opportunity of having Soler on a market-value agreement.
Soler and Jackson aren’t enough to declare completion of Atlanta’s sluggish slide down the standings, however they do assist the group. Hopefully for Braves fans, there’s more aid coming before the trade window closes this night.
More Stories
2025 Hall of Fame Ballot: JAWS Analysis of Hunter and Rollins
Dodgers Could Be ‘Scrappy Underdogs’ This Postseason, Says Star
Dodgers Notes: Major Surgery, Ohtani’s Gift, Buehler Trade Rumors