Stefanos Tsitsipas has demonstrated impressive dominance in his head-to-head matchups throughout the Dubai Duty Free Championships this week. This trend is unlikely to shift as he heads into Saturday’s final. Tsitsipas boasts an undefeated record against Lorenzo Sonego at 3-0, an outstanding 8-1 record against Karen Khachanov, a solid 4-1 lead over Matteo Berrettini, and a perfect 2-0 against Tallon Griekspoor. Now, the world No. 11 faces Felix Auger-Aliassime, who is currently trailing their series 6-3. This matchup promises to be thrilling as both players bring their unique strengths to the court.

The rivalry between Tsitsipas and Auger-Aliassime has evolved significantly over time. Initially, Auger-Aliassime burst onto the tour with remarkable momentum, securing victories over Tsitsipas in their early encounters, including the first two matches played in straight sets. This momentum was fueled by their prior matchups in the juniors, where the Canadian also dominated. However, the dynamics have shifted dramatically in recent years. Tsitsipas has gained the upper hand, winning six of their last seven matchups, often with commanding performances. Notably, Auger-Aliassime has not triumphed over Tsitsipas on outdoor hard courts since their first clash in 2019 at the Indian Wells Masters, showcasing Tsitsipas’s growing prowess in this rivalry.

Tsitsipas is poised to capitalize on his favorable position as he heads into the final this weekend. The 26-year-old showcased exceptional skill and strategy during his semifinal match against Tallon Griekspoor, winning decisively with a score of 6-4, 6-4. This victory not only highlights his current form but also leaves him well-rested and prepared for the championship match. Prior to this, Tsitsipas had secured victories against Sonego and Khachanov in straight sets, further emphasizing his dominance in the tournament. His consistent performance indicates that he is in peak condition to challenge for the title against Auger-Aliassime.

On the other hand, Auger-Aliassime has been engaged in a rigorous schedule this week, reflecting his determination to rebound from previous disappointing seasons in 2023 and 2024. Currently ranked world No. 21, he leads the ATP in match victories with an impressive 16-4 record. Auger-Aliassime has already claimed titles in both Adelaide and Montpellier this year, showcasing his potential to add a third trophy to his collection in 2025. His path to the final has not been easy, having faced tough opponents like Alexander Bublik, Nuno Borges, Marin Cilic, and Quentin Halys, all of whom pushed him to three sets in their matches. This demanding schedule may impact his performance in the final against Tsitsipas.

Both players are exhibiting exceptional tennis, making this final a highly anticipated event. However, Tsitsipas arguably holds the upper hand due to his historical success in their matchups and Auger-Aliassime’s potential fatigue from a grueling week of play. The stage is set for an exciting showdown as both athletes strive for victory.

Prediction: Tsitsipas in 3 sets